Here’s the latest I can share based on recently surfaced reports.
- Talks between the US and China have continued into 2025 and 2026 with an emphasis on potentially extending ceasefire tranches and moderating tariff levels, including discussions around a possible prolongation of a trade-war truce and a pause on certain technology export restrictions.[1][3]
- Analysts expect the discussions to extend over several months and emphasize a calibrated approach rather than a sweeping settlement, with both sides signaling willingness to negotiate but remaining cautious about concessions.[3]
- Some reports indicate ongoing US–China friction remains tied to technology controls and strategic competition, suggesting any durable resolution will likely require broader agreements on trade, tech exports, and supply chains rather than a simple tariff détente.[5][3]
Illustration: a simplified view of the current dynamic
- Phase 1: Negotiations continue; targeted tariff adjustments and temporary truce extensions on the table.
- Phase 2: Confidence-building measures in tech export controls and possible frameworks for longer-term agreements.
- Phase 3: Risk of flare-ups if core demands or enforcement mechanisms diverge.
If you’d like, I can pull the most current headlines from multiple outlets and summarize who’s proposing what and the potential timelines. I can also provide a quick timeline of notable events in the China–US trade relationship since 2018. Please tell me which format you prefer.[1][3][5]